Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if a person know the tricks typically the “smart money” bettors work with to consistently make dollars. Most significant secrets that wise money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to help bet.
Here’s a best case in point. My partner and i analyzed the particular Western Florida vs. Louisville game, and concluded of which West California had often the edge in the game. Nevertheless , My spouse and i also came to the realization that there are a great deal of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they carry out not bet on that game. Here is my personal analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Virginia vs . Louisville
This sport has all the indications of being one associated with the very best games connected with the year, along with both teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, with Western Virginia coming back again from staying down major in the 4th 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime.
So what’s the action search like this year?
In the event this match were being played with a new simple field, West Florida would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since typically the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented spin. They will haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they missing to Las vegas Tech. On the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last being unfaithful activities overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 PATH games.
All these are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU for tonight’s online game. Plus, typically the added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not appear like much, but in a shut match-up like this, that excess point will certainly make the big difference between some sort of push together with a loss.
But some of us wonder what concerning Louisville?
Louisville’s numbers are generally almost as good while WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In his or her very last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home game titles.
And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since 12 18, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points for each game at your home, while averaging only letting go of 15. 8 points each game with home. In case an individual did not do the mathematics, that means given that their own last home decline they also have averaged beating their very own competitors by way of about 34 things per game.
Furthermore remarkable, the average line in these games has only recently been 21 points. That means Louisville has beaten the pass on, on average, by way of 13 factors per game at home since 2003.
Wow… how can an individual go against that?
Here’s precisely how…
Many of those stats were accumulated during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to very good than great. They are yet to got recent games through which they also have only scored 28, twenty three, 24 points. That games weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. That they ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
The bottom line is of which this is still some sort of close match to call. Nevertheless betway i look intended for is West Virginia’s protection to carry the moment. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero explanation to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation can be to lay off this kind of game and definitely not gamble at all. There are better games this weekend break with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score of this game was Louisville forty four, West California 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to gain some sort of punt for a good TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border wasn’t so big that they can may still win immediately after doing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this game, people significant concerning sports betting saved money these people can put to better use on upcoming games.